Lead Scoring Models
Lead scoring models, compared.
Rule-based, predictive, AI — three ways to score a lead. Here's when each one wins, and where Catch before they bounce's continuous-learning model changes the math.
The three lead scoring models.
Manual point system
Rule-based
Strengths. Easy to start. No data team. Transparent.
Limits. Goes stale. Reflects opinions, not data. Doesn't learn.
Best when. You have <100 conversions and need something today.
Statistical regression
Predictive
Strengths. Learns from real conversion data. More accurate than rules.
Limits. Needs a CRM, clean data, and usually a data team. Retrained monthly at best.
Best when. You have a mature CRM and a data analyst.
Continuous machine learning
AI (Catch before they bounce)
Strengths. Retrains continuously. Works on anonymous visitors. Explainable. No CRM required.
Limits. You give up manual point-tweaking — the model learns the weights for you.
Best when. You want accuracy without a data team or a $700/month bill.
1. Rule-based lead scoring
You write the rules: +10 for visiting pricing, +5 for opening an email, −15 if role contains "student". Easy to ship, easy to explain, easy to get wrong. Most teams set it up once and never touch it again — and the model drifts further from reality every month.
2. Predictive lead scoring
Statistical regression on your CRM history finds the signals that correlated with closed-won deals. Much better than rules — but you need clean CRM data, a data team to maintain the pipeline, and an org large enough to retrain monthly. Most SMBs never get there.
3. AI lead scoring — the Catch before they bounce model
Catch before they bounce watches every visitor's behavior — scroll depth, dwell, return visits, form hesitation, rage clicks, exit intent — and retrains on your real conversions in real time. Every score comes with the exact signals behind it, so sales and marketing can trust and question the model.
No CRM required. No data team. $5/month.
$5/month. To stop flying blind.
Everything you need to name your buyers, message them first, and prove the revenue. Top up only if you need more.
14-day free trial • Cancel anytime
Everything included
- Unlimited leads tracked
- 40 Lead DNA / month — AI profile + outreach script per lead
- 15 Visitor Voice / month — listen to each lead's motivation (AI voice)
- AI model trained on your own conversions
- Cockpit dashboard, friction signals & session replay
- Revenue Potential & Stripe Connect — real revenue per lead
- 1 project / 1 domain
Need more? Top up anytime.
One-time purchases. Never expire. No subscription.
+25 Lead DNA
AI profiles + outreach scripts
+50 Lead DNA
Best value — save 25%
+10 Visitor Voice
Listen to each lead's motivation
+30 Visitor Voice
Best value — save 22%
Lead scoring models — FAQ.
What is a lead scoring model?+
A lead scoring model is the framework you use to turn lead behavior and attributes into a single number representing buying intent. The three main types are rule-based (manual point rules), predictive (statistical regression on past conversions), and AI/machine-learning models that continuously retrain on new data.
Rule-based vs predictive vs AI lead scoring — which model is best?+
Rule-based is easy to start with but goes stale fast and reflects opinions, not data. Predictive models are more accurate but usually require a data team and a CRM. AI models like Catch before they bounce's combine the accuracy of predictive scoring with continuous learning, and run on raw website behavior — no CRM required.
How do you build a lead scoring model?+
Traditionally: list the signals that correlate with conversion, assign points to each, sum them, and threshold. Modern approach: feed historical behavior + conversion outcomes to a model, let it learn the weights, and retrain regularly. Catch before they bounce handles the modern approach automatically — you don't build the model, the model builds itself.
What signals should a lead scoring model include?+
Demographic/firmographic (industry, company size, role), behavioral (pages viewed, dwell time, return visits, form actions), source (UTM, referrer), and friction (rage clicks, form abandonment, exit intent). Catch before they bounce captures all behavioral and friction signals out of the box.
How often should a lead scoring model be updated?+
Static rule-based models should be reviewed quarterly — buyer behavior drifts. Predictive models are typically retrained monthly. Catch before they bounce retrains continuously as new conversions come in, so the model never goes stale.
Skip the spreadsheet. Let the model learn.
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Catch before they bounce identifies your highest-intent anonymous visitors, drafts the outreach, and ties each lead back to real revenue — all in one AI-first analytics platform.
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