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Pipeline coverage. The honest math.

See whether your open pipeline can actually deliver quota — adjusted for your real win rate.

Inputs

Results

Current coverage

2.4×

pipeline / quota

Required coverage

3.6×

given win rate

Expected close

$672,000

from open pipe

Gap to plan

$-22,000

quota − projected

Benchmark

Under-covered

Need 3.6× pipeline; have 2.4×. Mathematically impossible to make plan from current pipeline.

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How it works.

required_coverage = 1 / win_rate · projected = closed + (pipeline × win_rate)

If win rate is 25%, you need 4× pipeline coverage. If it's 33%, 3× is enough. Stop benchmarking to industry — benchmark to your own win rate.

FAQ.

What is pipeline coverage?+

Open pipeline divided by quota for the period. Tells you whether there's enough mathematically possible revenue to hit number — before any deal slips or loses.

What's a healthy coverage ratio?+

3× is the rule of thumb (if win rate is 33%, you need 3× quota in pipeline). Higher for lower-conversion teams: 4–5× for new SDR motions, 2× for tightly-qualified enterprise pipelines.

How do I calculate it?+

Sum the value of all open opportunities in stages 2+ (qualified) closing in the period, divide by quota. Don't count stage-1 noise — it inflates the number.

What if my coverage is low?+

Open pipeline can't be conjured in a quarter. Pull deals from next period, run a SPIFF to compress timelines, and stand up outbound — but accept this period is going to miss.

What if coverage is too high?+

Either your win rate is overstated, the team is hoarding stale opps, or pipeline is real but reps lack capacity to work it. Audit aged opps; clear the swamp.

Cover quota with real pipe.